Friday, 27 February 2009

RESTful Web Services - SOA Made Simple?

In the SOA community there has been ongoing debate over SOAP versus REST for a number of years now. I've decided to add my 'pennies worth' to the argument. I feel I can add a unique perspective on this subject, as during 1998/99 I was heavily involved in the early Beta-testing of Microsoft Biztalk and had access to a lot of the formative thinking that eventually went into defining SOAP and the WS-* standards.

To really put the debate in perspective you need to understand the roots and history of the SOAP protocol and the people behind it.

The story starts back in 1998 when the XML 1.0 specification was agreed, IT vendors like Microsoft and IBM were beginning to get their heads around the idea of distributed computing using HTTP. Let's not forget, the 90's was all about the transition to client / server computing then n-tier architectures and middleware such as CORBA, J2EE, Microsoft Windows DNA (now .NET). At that time I was working with a start-up company that produced one of the first commercial COTS products based on Windows DNA. In my view, at that time, Sun Java J2EE lagged Microsoft DCOM MTS in defining n-tier architecture best practice.

The starting point for SOAP was XML-RPC. XML-RPC was pretty straightforward, it took the view that you could use the core HTTP mechanisms of GET, POST, PUT and DELETE to call a remote host API with XML as the payload. Everyone then understood that HTTP and XML was going to become the heterogeneous holy grail that we needed to promote open interoperable distributed computing.

A typical XML-RPC fragment looks something like this:

POST /myservice HTTP/1.0
User-Agent: Frontier/5.1.2 (WinNT)
Host: myhost.com
Content-Type: text/xml
Content-length: 181

<?xml version="1.0"?>
<methodCall>
<methodName>myService.getMethodName</methodName>
<params>
<param>
<value><i4>41</i4></value>
</param>
</params>
</methodCall>

And a response that looks something like:

HTTP/1.1 200 OK
Connection: close
Content-Length: 158
Content-Type: text/xml
Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:55:08 GMT
Server: UserLand Frontier/5.1.2-WinNT

<?xml version="1.0"?>
<methodResponse>
<params>
<param>
<value><string>Returned Value</string></value>
</param>
</params>
</methodResponse>

Pretty simple.

In 2000 I worked on a Touch-Screen Kiosk system that brought content from different web systems together in a client portal. We hooked into services such as Multimap and UpMyStreet all using an XML-RPC approach and it worked great.

Of course there are issues with this. How do you discover what services are available? How can a client understand what the description of the API is, data types etc? How do you secure an API on a public network? How do handle transactions?

These issues kicked started the vision for SOAP and WS-* standards. It may be a surprise to some, but the key organisation behind SOAP in the early days was Microsoft, that bastion of interoperability and open standards. The original contributors to SOAP worked on the Microsoft DCOM MTS team. It is, therefore, not surprising that the original SOAP proposal assumed a COM type system underneath the hood. DCOM supported HTTP as well as TCP/IP as a network transport. There was also an internal battle going on between the DCOM based SOAP and XML data teams within Microsoft as to how these two technologies should interact. This delayed the ratification of SOAP 1.0 until late 1999.

Knowing the background of the people who drove the early days of SOAP, it should be no surprise that SOAP is effectively DCOM for XML over HTTP. The architectural principles behind SOAP can be found in all the RPC middleware solutions of the 90s, i.e. Windows DNA, CORBA and J2EE. Also, with key vendors such as Microsoft and IBM driving the SOAP and WS-* standards, I suspect their motives behind architectural decisions were partly driven by commercial opportunities for selling products such as development tools, application servers etc.

Around this time, Roy Fielding, co-founder of the Apache project, was working on a dissertation for his PhD at University of California. Roy Fielding was one of the pioneers behind HTTP and HTML. Roy's dissertation, Architectural Styles and the Design of Network-based Software Architectures, probably didn't register any further than a few interested academic circles at the time, but now is regarded as the definitive guide to the architecture of the Web. In some ways, Roy's dissertation was a way to try and put some solid theory behind the evolution of technologies that became the Web. Sort of a retrospective design document if you like.

REST, as Roy articulates in his thesis, is an architectural style, not a protocol. Systems that are 'RESTful' adhere to the key architecture principles of REST. Unlike SOAP, REST is not a standard.

The key principles of REST are:
  • Application and State are abstracted into Resources
  • Every resource is uniquely addressable
  • Client Server
  • Stateless
  • Cacheable
  • Layered
Fielding also laid out the key goals of REST:
  • Scaleability of component interactions
  • Generality of interfaces
  • Independent deployment of components
  • Intermediary components to reduce interaction latency, enforce security, and encapsulate legacy systems
In simple terms, the SOAP vs. REST debate is a false one. You cannot compare SOAP and REST, they are completely different entities. SOAP is a standards based RPC middleware protocol, REST is an architectural style guide.

Fast forward to the present, 10 years since the release of SOAP v1.0, and where are we now with SOAP, REST and web services? Well for me a good indication of where web services are heading is to look to the major Internet and eCommerce players, I'm talking the Google, Yahoo, eBay and the Amazons of this world, and how they are providing access to their services.

It's interesting that most of these big players offer both SOAP and RESTful APIs to their services, yet reports have shown that the majority of developers prefer accessing the RESTful APIs over SOAP. Why is this? Simple, like electricity finding an earth, developers will always take the path of least resistance when developing any app. In essence, RESTful web services have proven to be substantially easier to use in the field than SOAP. This is not surprising either. If you read through the SOAP and WS-* specifications they are, in my view, near on unintelligible, and full of inconsistencies. If you want a light hearted criticism of SOAP, see this article by Pete Lacy. It's also interesting that the likes of Google who started providing both SOAP and RESTful access to their services have, in a lot of cases, deprecated their SOAP access.

So where do I stand on the SOAP vs. REST debate? The shear success of HTTP, therefore the principles of REST, coupled with its inherent simplicity, places me in the RESTful camp. Building SOA and web services on RESTful principles means you inherit all the proven advantages of HTTP. Re-read Fielding's goals for REST, these are entirely compatible with the goals of SOA.

It's my view that SOAP is 'tainted' with the client / server RPC thinking of the 1990's grafted on to HTTP. Looking at SOAP's history and the people who drove it's initial specification, you can understand why this could be the case.

Tim Berners-Lee's vision of the Web was simple:

"The Web is simply defined as the universe of global network-accessible information"

Berners-Lee view was that the primary purpose of the Web is to establish a globally shared information space, and 'legacy systems' could participate by publishing objects and services into this space. SOAP, on the other hand, talks about the web as a network transport, endpoints and bindings.

Taking Berners-Lee's core vision, SOAP, for me, adds an unnecessary level of indirection between the consumer and provider of information. In my view, the HTTP specification, used in conjunction with XML, already provides a robust mechanism for SOA across TCP/IP networks, what's the value of adding further complexity on top?

SOAP advocates will point to the issues of service discovery, security and transactions, I raised earlier, and argue this is what SOAP provides in conjunction with the WS- standards. I would argue that the proliferation of WS-* standards came about as sticking plasters to SOAP to make the Web Services behave more like traditional client / server RPC technologies.

It almost feels to me like SOAP and the WS- standards are 'fighting' against the purity and goals of HTTP, the primary protocol they run on.

Will REST win out? It's interesting to trawl the blogs and forums of the major vendors such as Oracle, Sun, IBM and Microsoft (coincidently the key vendors driving the web services standards) , and from around 2006 onwards you'll find an explosion of articles on REST. Yet go back further than that and it was all SOA equals Web Services equals SOAP.

Like a lot of software innovations these days, REST grew ground up from developers and Open Source communities, starts to become mainstream and the big players pick up on it. Ironically, considering REST is a style not a standard, you've now got the likes of Sun and w3C promoting standards around REST such as WADL

Even though I'm a fan of REST and Fielding's view of 'Resource Orientated' computing, I can still see a place for SOAP and WS-*. For example if you need to provide a service that requires transaction support, then SOAP's ideal. I've just got this feeling though, that the simplicity, purity, compatibility and scaleability of REST will win through in the end.

Time will tell!

If you're looking for a good technical overview of REST, I would recommend Elkstein's tutorial as a good starting point. I would also recommend listening to a podcast round table discussion of REST by a team from ThoughtWorks, including Martin Fowler. The postcast is split into two parts, the first part giving an overview and history of REST, the second going into more detail around modelling resources and deploying REST in the Enterprise.

Monday, 9 February 2009

Programming with Eclipse BIRT

A couple of years ago I started working on an Agent-Based Simulation System. This system simulated the behaviour of fleets of complex assets, such as aircraft, to support predictive analysis of maintenance, availability, system failure etc.

One of the (many) key challenges of the system architecture was the shear volume of data each simulation could potentially generate and the visualisation of the results. At the time the organisation I was working in hadn't decided on a corporate Business Intelligence / Analytics solution, so I had the task of looking for an appropriate technology to plug in to the system architecture.

It made sense that the solution was Open Source, looking around there were a few options including Jasper Reports, in the end I decided on Eclipse BIRT. I choose BIRT mainly because we were already using the Eclipse Platform for the rest of the system architecture development effort and, to be honest, I was quietly impressed with the capability, power and ease of use. Also BIRT has the advantage of being Open Source but with a solid commerical entity behind it in the form of Actuate.

BIRT's architecture is, essentially, split into two components, a Designer tool to maintain the report design, and a Java runtime Report Engine that manages and executes the report. The Designer component can either run as an Eclipse RCP client or Eclipse IDE Plug-In. The Report Engine will deploy to any standard Servlet Engine / J2ee Application Server environment, e.g. JBoss AS, Tomcat, Websphere etc.

An overview of the architecture is shown below.



The architecture of BIRT is pretty open and extensible. For example data source connectivity is provided by ODA which allows you to connect to different physical data sources, such as JDBC RDBMS, Web Services, Flat Files or Java Beans, yet treat them all as logic result sets. In fact, one of my first 'evaluations' of BIRT's capabilities involved building a web reporting front-end to Amazon's ECS (now known as AWS Associates Web Service).

For me, the real power of BIRT is the Server Event model that allows you alter the look, feel or behaviour of the report at runtime. An API is provided for the event model and can be accessed via Rhino (Javascript based scripting for Java) and native Java. An overview of the event model can be seen below.


Events are exposed on numerous report objects, for example DataSet.beforeOpen(), ReportElement.onPrepare() etc.

These events allow you to do all sort of 'clever stuff' at runtime. For example, change the SQL of a query based on a parameter or the outcome of a previous query, change repot or chart colours based on calculated values.

For example, the following code changes the SQL expression dependent on a runtime parameter rp_sortorder:

myDataSet.beforeOpen() {
this.queryText=this.queryText.replace('sortlistorder',params["rp_sortorder"]);
}

You can also get access the the J2EE runtime container. For example, the following code gets access to a Http Session object.

report.initialize() {
importPackage(Packages.javax.servlet.http);
var thisSession=reportContext.getHttpServletRequest().getSession();
var mySessionObject=thisSession.getAttribute("mySessionObject");
var mySessionObjectValue=mySessionObject.getValue();
}

As well as a Report Design and Runtime (Engine) API, there's a Chart API that allows to extend the built in Chart functionality. For example, the code below alters the scale of a chart dependent on two global variables "ymindate" and "ymaxdate".

function beforeGeneration(chart, icsc) {
importPackage(Packages.org.eclipse.birt.chart.model.data.impl);
var scriptObj=icsc.getExternalContext().getScriptable();
var yaxisminDate=scriptObj.getPersistentGlobalVariable("yminDate");
var yaxismaxDate=scriptObj.getPersistentGlobalVariable("ymaxDate");
var yaxismin=Date.parse(yaxisminDate);
var yaxismax=Date.parse(yaxismaxDate);
var xaxis=chart.getBaseAxes()[0];
var yaxis=chart.getOrthogonalAxes(xaxis,true)[0];
var yaxisScale=yaxis.getScale();
yaxisScale.setMin(DateTimeDataElementImpl.create(yaxismin));
yaxisScale.setMax(DateTimeDataElementImpl.create(yaxismax));
}

I am impressed with BIRT and I haven't yet found a reporting / analytics requirement it can't handle, coupled with it's extensibility and the backing of the Eclipse community and Actuate I highly recommend it.

If you want to find out more about BIRT:

Saturday, 31 January 2009

End of the line for the Relational Database?

Pretty much every 'business system' I've ever been involved in developing over the last 20 years has involved a RDBMS in some shape or form. I've worked with pretty much all the major vendors in my time, i.e. Oracle, Sybase, Ingres, MS SQL Server etc.

Developing my software career from the late 80's through the 90's, RDBMS's were always there, a key enabler for the move to Client / Server. Even when the Internet and HTTP came along, RDBMS's were still providing the backbone to applications.

Most architects and developers have grown up with relational algebra, normalisation and, of course, SQL. I remember the brief flirtation with the OO database revolution that never quite took off and it's still kicking around. I suspect architects just get used to the fact that data persistence is probably going to involve an RDBMS, what else would you use?

I believe the mantel of the RDBMS is beginning to be challenged with rise of a number of alternative database and persistence approaches built ground up with the Web and HTTP in mind. A lot of these new database engines share common principles and technologies, including using HTTP, REST, JSON and XML as the primary query tools, having flexible data models that are more document orientated than relational structured. All of these solutions take away the classic RDBMS problems of maintaining indexes, keys, relationships, allowing the developer to focus on the typical CRUD operations without worrying about how that data is structured, indexed or persisted.

Amazon opened up their e-Commerce services a few years ago now under the AWS banner. I've had an Amazon Developer account pretty much since the service was launched, mainly out of interest and experimentation than developing any real-world applications. Amazon have been steadily adding new services and finally added their database solution SimpleDB.

Currently in beta, SimpleDB provides a straightforward API to create domains, put, get and delete data and querying capabilities. Given the massive move away from SOAP to RESTful web services, I don't think it's any coincidence that Amazon have chosen the core HTTP verbs of get, put and delete for their SimpleDB API.

The data metaphor Amazon use for SimpleDB is the spreadsheet. Worksheets are akin to domains (RDBMS tables), items are rows, values are cells (single column value in a RDBMS table). The big difference is whereas a spreadsheet cell and RDBMS row/column intersect can only contain one value, a SimpleDB can contain many values. For an example take a look at the Product Catalogue domain below:


In this example Sweatpants have Color values of Blue, Yellow and Pink.

SimpleDB provides two query mechanisms, a SQL like Select expression, and a predicte type approach with Query expressions. Access is provided by either a SOAP or RESTful interface. For example, a RESTful call to add an Item called item123 to the domain 'mydomain' looks like:
https://sdb.amazonaws.com/?Action=PutAttributes
&DomainName=MyDomain
&ItemName=Item123
&Attribute.1.Name=Color&Attribute.1.Value=Blue
&Attribute.2.Name=Size&Attribute.2.Value=Med
&Attribute.3.Name=Price&Attribute.3.Value=0014.99
&AWSAccessKeyId=<valid_access_key>
&Version=2007-11-07
&Signature=Dqlp3Sd6ljTUA9Uf6SGtEExwUQE=
&SignatureVersion=2
&SignatureMethod=HmacSHA256
&Timestamp=2007-06-25T15%3A01%3A28-07%3A00

The XML response returned:

<PutAttributesResponse xmlns="http://sdb.amazonaws.com/doc/2007-11-07">
<ResponseMetadata>
<StatusCode>Success</StatusCode>
<RequestId>f6820318-9658-4a9d-89f8-b067c90904fc</RequestId>
<BoxUsage>0.0000219907</BoxUsage>
</ResponseMetadata>
</PutAttributesResponse>
In terms of out right performance, sat out there in the 'Cloud' SimpleDB isn't going to be able to complete with an instance of an RDBMS sat a switch away from your App Server, let alone a product like Oracle Coherence. What SimpleDB does offer through, is a quick and cost effective way of building flexible data driven applications in the 'Cloud' without worrying about hosting, DBA maintenance etc.

SimpleDB is getting attention through Amazon's presence and branding, but there are a number of alternatives.

Dabble DB
goes one step further than SimpleDB and not only provides a database, but adds forms allowing users to build quite flexible data driven web apps. You still use Dabble as a database back-end to your own application tier through a Javascript and JSON API. Dabble is ideally architected for AJAX applications running from the Browser. An example query to Dabble from JavaScript is shown below.

Dabble.addView({
_class: 'View',
id: 'e63a411d-7cbb-4399-9b65-37cfee8546e3',
name: 'Authors',
fields: [88],
entries: [
{_name: 'Homer', _id: 45, country: 'Greece'},
{_name: 'Margaret Atwood', _id: 95, country: 'Canada'},
{_name: 'James Joyce', _id: 44, country: 'Ireland'}
]
});
Effectively, Dabble DB is Microsoft Access for the Web.

Not all of these new database engines run solely in the Cloud. Apache have the CouchDB project currently in incubator. CouchDB is interesting for a number of reasons. Not only does it support an adaptive document centric database with a RESTful JSON API, but it's developed in Erlang, rather than C / C++ or Java.

An overview of CouchDB's architecture can be seen below:



CouchDB is document centric, schema free with a flat address space. Documents are comprised of fields that can contain strings, numbers, dates or more complicated structures such as ordered lists and associative maps. An example document for a blog post could look like:

"Subject": "I like Plankton"
"Author": "Rusty"
"PostedDate": "5/23/2006"
"Tags": ["plankton", "baseball", "decisions"]
"Body": "I decided today that I don't like baseball. I like plankton."

To put structure over what, essentially, is an unstructured store, CouchDB provides support for views which are written in JavaScript. A simple view construct is shown below:

function(doc) {
if (doc.Type == "customer") {
emit(null, {LastName: doc.LastName, FirstName: doc.FirstName, Address: doc.Address});
}
}

This view function creates a row for every document in the database that is of a Type 'customer', returning fields LastName, FirstName and Address. This view applies a key of 'null', there it therefore can't be referenced or sorted. An indexed and sortable view would look like:

function(doc) {
if (doc.Type == "customer") {
emit(doc.LastName, {FirstName: doc.FirstName, Address: doc.Address});
emit(doc.FirstName, {LastName: doc.LastName, Address: doc.Address});
}
}

And would return a JSON result that would look like:

{
"total_rows":4,
"offset":0,
"rows":
[
{
"id":"64ACF01B05F53ACFEC48C062A5D01D89",
"key":"Katz",
"value":{"FirstName":"Damien", "Address":"2407 Sawyer drive, Charlotte NC"}
},
{
"id":"64ACF01B05F53ACFEC48C062A5D01D89",
"key":"Damien",
"value":{"LastName":"Katz", "Address":"2407 Sawyer drive, Charlotte NC"}
},
{
"id":"5D01D8964ACF01B05F53ACFEC48C062A",
"key":"Kerr",
"value":{"FirstName":"Wayne", "Address":"123 Fake st., such and such"}
},
{
"id":"5D01D8964ACF01B05F53ACFEC48C062A",
"key":"Wayne",
"value":{"LastName":"Kerr", "Address":"123 Fake st., such and such"}
},
]
}

The choice of the Erlang VM runtime for CouchDB is also interesting. Erlang was developed by Ericsson as a platform for real-time Telecom systems. Erlang's support for lightweight threads, concurrency and all inter-process communications via messaging, is a highly scalable, distributed and fault-tolerant environment. Much more so than any current Java VM. This should make CouchDB perform very well.

CouchDB is stateless and is accessed entirely by HTTP, essentially following REST principles. This means CouchDB supports caching through proxies and edge server devices without modification.

Even though CouchDB is still an Apache incubator, there are some real-world apps built on it out there already. An interesting example is Ajatus, a sort of 'reverse CRM' solution.

Of course, no article on next-gen databases would be complete without mentioning the biggest one of them all - Google's Bigtable. Essentially, Bigtable is based on a huge sparse distributed hash map. Going into Bigtable in detail is well beyond this article, there's a publication available from Google here.

So is this really the end for the RDBMS? I suspect not just yet. There are hundreds of thousands of organisations and enterprises out there running their critical apps on Oracle, SQL Server, not forgetting the ubiquitous LAMP environments, typically with MySQL back-ends.

Even so, I believe these 'new generation' databases offer opportunities to build highly scalable, fault-tolerant and distributed applications with adaptable data models that inherently support the architecture of the web. With the likes of Amazon and Google heavily promoting these technologies, I personally would be worrying if I was in the database division of Oracle or Microsoft.

Thursday, 15 January 2009

Facts & Fallacies of Software Engineering

Most software developers know how systems really get built , and most will of come across organisations repeating the same old mistakes time amd time again. And of course, there are those myths that perpetuate the industry, such as all developers are equal in output and productivity.

Robert Glass's Facts and Fallacies of Software Engineering lays out these 'home-truths' and 'urban myths' of the systems development process. The book draws upon Roberts pretty unrivalled experience in the software field, dating back to the pioneering 1950's. There can't be too many people still active in the industry with such an eminent and long career.

I feel an affinity with Robert's career, as he explains in his introduction to Chapter 1 (About Management) how he shunned career prospects in management to stay true to the technologist path. I too flirted with the vision of aiming for Senior Management positions in my early 30's, starting the ubiquitous MBA route to bolster my prospects. I tired of the MBA in the end, deducing that (i) most management theory was just plain common sense dressed in Consultant speak and (ii) you could pick up the same knowledge just by reading a few well chosen management books and save yourself a shed load of cash in the process.

So back to the book. Robert lays out 55 facts and fallacies across areas including management, the life cycle and quality. Pretty much all of then I recognise and agree with. There are a couple of odd-ball / controversial ones, COBOL is a very bad language, but all the others are so much worse for example.

The book simply presents these facts and fallacies grouped by domain and subject, provides rationale and examples of them and supports their credibility through referencing other work. It can be a bit dry to read front to back, but the text's really meant for dipping in and out of when you're looking for that inspiration to solve your project's issues.

The key facts and fallacies for me include:
  • The most important factor in software work is the quality of the programmers - it never ceases to amaze me how often this is never recognised. I have seen so many projects where developers, analysts and architects are seen as 'fully interchangeable' by management. I have seen lead architects swapped on programmes just before major go-live milestones! Management need to recognise that the knowledge, skill and experience of the technical team at the coal face of delivery are the greatest influence in whether a project is successful or not.
  • Adding people to a late project only makes it later - when projects overrun there's always a temptation to 'throw' more resource at them. This invariably just makes the situation worse with more communication paths between team members and massively reduced productivity of your key technical staff as they spend time getting 'newbies' up to speed. Also, I believe no matter how complex the architecture of a system there is a limit in terms of team size to productivity. As teams grow not only do you have the learning curve and communication problems, but the more likely you're going to get team members who just don't get on with each other. I've also observed that in the panic to accelerate progress, the recruitment process can fall down with less experienced and skilled people being brought on board.
  • Estimation usually occurs at the wrong time by the wrong people - when an new initiative is agreed it's usually given to a project manager who's possibly never delivered a project like it before and is may be non-technical. Yet senior management will usually demand a schedule and budget forecast possibly years ahead and then hold the project manager to that schedule. Managers are usually reluctant to provide revised estimates as the project progresses to senior stakeholders through fear of losing credibility.
  • For every 25 percent increase in problem complexity, there is a 100 percent increase in solution complexity - this is one of least understood of Roberts facts, even amongst technical people. As a solution evolves and the business need is better understood by users and the delivery team, system features that early on in the life cycle appeared straight forward, suddenly start getting complex from a design and implementation viewpoint. Add on top of this the inevitable change in features and system behaviour that occurs as the project matures then the team can suddenly hit a wall of rapidly expanding system complexity. If not contained it can quite easily de-rail the delivery. Stakeholders often get frustrated when asking for, what they see, as simple feature requests. when the delivery team explains they can't be done without blowing the schedule or budget.
  • One of the most common causes of runaway projects is unstable requirements - see my article on Forget Requirements - Collaborate on a Solution Concept for a viewpoint on this one.
  • Software needs more methodologies - I have to admit to detesting most 'methodologies', by these I mean the likes of RUP, PRINCE2, DSDM etc. The content is usually valid, for example RUP contains loads of good practice guidelines on use cases, OOAD etc. It's just that they (i) tend to be seen as magic bullets and are over promoted as the saviour to all your problems by Vendors and Consultants, (ii) are usually implemented prescriptively with a one size fits all approach, and (iii) end up just massively increasing the bureaucracy that was probably already present in your organisation - only now it's got a name!
So what can an organisation learn from this book:
  • The 'coal face' technical people are the most important factor in delivery success, their knowledge, experience and skills
  • Move away from large long term, waterfall driven IT programmes with widely optimistic schedules and budgets, to incremental, iterative solution development delivering smaller capabilities but significantly quicker
  • Manage stakeholder expectations on what can and cannot be realistically achieved with available technologies
  • Forget methods, and tools for that matter, even when well implemented these only deliver marginal improvements over the technical experience, skills and capabilities of your people.


The only other comment I'd add about this book is that I still haven't fathomed out why there's a picture of a Snowy Owl on the front. I must email Robert Glass and ask him.

Wednesday, 14 January 2009

Windows 7 - Begining of the End for Microsoft?

Let me put this straight from the start, I am not one of these dedicated anti-Microsoft types with a pathological hatred of anything coming out of the Redmond stable. I spent the majority of my career in the 90's working with the Microsoft platform from DOS 3.0 to Windows NT, GWBASIC to Visual Studio. In my view, Microsoft's dominance of the Desktop and certain elements of Enterprise computing (file, print serving and mail for example) was more down to the poor vision, strategy and business models of its competitors than any MS 'evil planning'.

So Windows 7 is here and available for public download, and judging by the tech news feeds is in demand. Windows 7 needs to be good, even Microsoft admit they cocked-up on Vista. For me though, there's always an inherent problem with a software product line that's been out, what seems like, for ever. It inevitably turns into 'bloatware', and that's what happened to Vista. The problem with an OS is just how many more truly useful features can you add to an operating system? The features MS are touting for 7 seem pretty desperate to me, most of it centring around UI enhancements.

The problem for Microsoft is that user applications are rapidly moving web side, or to the Cloud to use the current buzzword. This website is a good example. The whole content is being managed in a browser, no native OS dependences, I can maintain this Blog from anything from an iPhone over 3G to a Linux Netbook on a Wi-Fi HotSpot in Starbucks. Vista sales were poor, and I believe Windows 7 sales will fall well below Microsoft's expectations for a number of reasons:
  • Broadband speeds are set to (hopefully) rapidly increase towards the end of 2009 here in the UK with BT's implementation of 21CN and ADSL2+ enabling more content to be streamed down to the browser.
  • Web based applications are beginning to become more mainstream with consumers championed by the likes of Google Apps
  • Users are trusting more of their data to the web with Online Backup solutions such as Carbonite and Web 2.0 applications such as Flickr
  • Browsers are heading to become a 'mini OS' in their own right, and are likely to become more robust development platforms - witness Google Chrome with OS like features such as multi-process and threading for rendering, Javascript execution, HTTP download etc.
  • Web-based apps are set to improve dramatically with the take up of rich AJAX development environments such as ExtJs
  • JavaScript is no longer a 'scripting language' for occasional web master tinkering, but rapidly becoming a serious language for application development, supporting OO 'like' concepts through prototype functions.
  • Browser vendors will focus on increased Javascript performance as this article shows with Firefox 3.1
  • Linux on the desktop is likely to become more mainstream with the rapid growth in NetBook sales, most of which are powered by lightweight Linux Distros such as Linpus and Xubuntu
In my view, the question won't be 'are you a Windows / Linux / OS X user?', it's more likely to be 'are you a IE / FireFox / Opera / Chrome / Safari user?'.

This change will be slow, but I believe will start to increase through 2009/10 in the consumer desktop space first. Corporates are inherently risk adverse and generally slow to change, particularly something as critical as their desktop infrastructure. Even so, with the current economic downturn, companies will start the question the value of paying massive licence fees and, I suspect, begin to embrace Open Source, starting in the data centre first. Once this transformation is complete in the data centre, Enterprises will surely look to desktops next.

So what next for Microsoft? To be fair Microsoft is not the two product company (Office and Windows) it once was. It's revenues are spread across its Client, Server & Tools, Business, On-line and Entertainment divisions. With XBox it showed how it could take on an entrenched incumbent like Sony and win.

Even though more computing tasks are likely to head to the 'Cloud', there still are a number of application domains that will always require heavyweight local processing and file management, 3D modelling & rendering, video, graphics and, of course, gaming to name a few.

Ray Ozzie, Microsoft's Chief Software Architect and Bill Gates successor, has put his faith in the Azure Platform in an attempt to get Microsoft dominant in the Cloud Computing space. I personally like the Azure concept. I suspect, though, the biggest challenge to large scale uptake will be in Governments and Corporates concerns over security.

Then there's the small issue of the apps themselves, most Enterprises internal business processes run a mixture of home-grown apps and COTS such as ERP and CRM. You'd have to question the benefits, let alone the feasibility and shear effort and cost, of moving these to the Azure platform.

Microsoft's main hope may be in persuading major app vendors such as SAP to port versions of their solutions to Azure. These vendors, though, tend to have their own SOA and SaaS strategies and Azure will probably not seem attractive to them. Obviously the Oracle's of this world won't be interested in supporting Azure, it just takes too much of their portfolio away

Azure's definitely a gamble for Microsoft.

So what about Windows future. I feel that Microsoft will begin to seriously feel the heat from Linux and possibly offer a number of very low cost (may be even free) Windows variants targeted at low spec 'Internet' PCs and NetBooks. Target revenues from those users who do need desktop power, focusing on features to improve local processing of graphics and video.

You never know, we may yet see an Microsoft 'Open Source' free Windows available for download soon!